Public Models / Fictional example
Fictional scenario. The company is invented and every input is an illustrative assumption, not a reported figure or outcome.
These are hypothetical scenarios, not verified AI deployments or observed financial returns. Any resemblance to a real company is unintended.
In the inputs below, every input has the mark “Illustrative, not validated”.
Fictional example: logistics software company
Fictional scenario: invented company, all inputs illustrative assumptions. Not a reported outcome. Shows a weak case: licences for everyone, but only a quarter use the tool and the time saving is small. Both values are below the cost.
Report “Fictional example: logistics software company”
Incremental AI cost: US$255,750.00 per year. These are two different valuations of the same output gain. Do not add them together. Neither value is a guaranteed minimum or maximum.
Capacity-based value
The cost of the engineer time used for more work. It is not a cash saving.
US$30,438.00 per year · ROI -88.10%
Revenue-linked value
A hypothetical contribution scenario. It is not a sales forecast.
US$3,585.25 per year · ROI -98.60%
Inputs - company
Item | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue, last completed financial year | US$45,000,000.00 | Illustrative, not validated |
| Business-as-usual revenue growth | 8.00% | Illustrative, not validated |
| Incremental contribution margin | 40.00% | Illustrative, not validated |
Inputs - workforce
Item | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Engineering FTE (annual average) | 250 | Illustrative, not validated |
| Licensed seats (annual average) | 250 | — |
Inputs - AI tool costs
Item | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Engineers with a paid seat | 100.00% | — |
| Seat price per month | US$39.00 | Illustrative, not validated |
| Extra usage per active engineer per month | US$25.00 | Illustrative, not validated |
| Implementation, training and governance (year one) | US$120,000.00 | Illustrative, not validated |
Inputs - productivity and adoption
Item | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Engineering work eligible for AI | 30.00% | Illustrative, not validated |
| Net time saved on eligible work | 8.00% | Illustrative, not validated |
| Active engineers (adoption) | 25.00% | Illustrative, not validated |
| Released time used for extra output (redeployment) | 30.00% | Illustrative, not validated |
Inputs - commercial response
Item | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Engineering commercial response | 20.00% | Illustrative, not validated |
| Commercial diffusion loss | 50.00% | Illustrative, not validated |
| Downside commercial transmission | 100.00% | Illustrative, not validated |
Workforce cohorts
Location | Seniority | FTE | Fully loaded cost (original currency) | FX rate | Rate date | FX source | Loaded cost (USD) | Capacity benefit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES | junior | 45 | US$48,000.00 | 1 | — | reporting currency (no conversion) | US$48,000.00 | US$3,888.00 |
| ES | mid | 75 | US$72,000.00 | 1 | — | reporting currency (no conversion) | US$72,000.00 | US$9,720.00 |
| ES | senior | 30 | US$105,000.00 | 1 | — | reporting currency (no conversion) | US$105,000.00 | US$5,670.00 |
| PT | junior | 30 | US$40,000.00 | 1 | — | reporting currency (no conversion) | US$40,000.00 | US$2,160.00 |
| PT | mid | 50 | US$62,000.00 | 1 | — | reporting currency (no conversion) | US$62,000.00 | US$5,580.00 |
| PT | senior | 20 | US$95,000.00 | 1 | — | reporting currency (no conversion) | US$95,000.00 | US$3,420.00 |
Incremental annual AI cost
Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Licences | US$117,000.00 |
| Additional usage | US$18,750.00 |
| Implementation, training and governance | US$120,000.00 |
| Total incremental AI cost | US$255,750.00 |
Productivity chain
Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Active engineers (annual average) | 62.5 |
| Released time per active engineer | 2.4000% |
| Theoretical output uplift per active engineer | 2.4590% |
| Released baseline time, whole workforce | 0.6000% |
| Realised workforce output uplift | 0.1844% |
| Adverse output change (stress channel) | 0.0000% |
Capacity-based value
Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Capacity benefit (cost-equivalent of redeployed time)Not a cash or payroll saving | US$30,438.00 |
| Net value after AI cost | -US$225,312.00 |
| Capacity economic ROI | -88.10% |
| Benefit / cost | 0.12× |
Revenue-linked contribution value (scenario)
Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Forecast BAU revenue (no AI) | US$48,600,000.00 |
| Incremental revenue scenarioScenario, not a sales forecast | US$8,963.11 |
| Incremental contribution benefit | US$3,585.25 |
| Net value after AI cost | -US$252,164.75 |
| Commercial scenario ROI | -98.60% |
| Benefit / cost | 0.01× |
| Effective commercial response e × (1 − d) | 10.0000% |
Diagnostics (calculated by the model, not audited)
Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Engineering-addressable contribution per FTE | US$15,552.00 |
| BAU revenue at which the two valuations are equalNeither valuation is a fixed minimum or maximum | US$412,604,000.00 |
Sensitivity - net time saved on eligible work ±10 points
Scenario | Shift | Capacity benefit | Capacity ROI | Commercial benefit | Commercial ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | -10% | -US$25,365.00 | -109.92% | -US$5,797.22 | -102.27% |
| Base | 0% | US$30,438.00 | -88.10% | US$3,585.25 | -98.60% |
| Optimistic | 10% | US$68,485.50 | -73.22% | US$8,322.62 | -96.75% |
Reproducibility
Reproduced exactly by the current engine (0.1.3). Input hash 5568d9de71667caf…, output hash c58d56a4ec0d7cc8….
- Capacity-based and revenue-linked values are two alternative valuations of the same output gain. Never add them.
- Neither valuation is a guaranteed minimum or maximum; which one is higher depends on the inputs.
- Capacity value is the cost-equivalent of redeployed engineer time, not a payroll or cash saving.
- Revenue-linked value is a hypothetical scenario based on stated assumptions, not a causal sales forecast.
- Illustrative estimate - not an observed financial result until supported by evidence.
- Dodone Model v1 is a controlled draft for independent methodological audit; it has not been audited.
- One 12-month period; a new AI tool compared with no tool. Not valid for replacing an existing AI tool.